Fibonacci Method

Posted by: fibox in Untagged  on

fibox

Fibonacci forex trading is the basis of many forex trading systems used by a great number of professional forex brokers around the globe, and many billions of dollars are profitable traded every year based on these trading techniques.

Fibonacci was an Italian mathematician and he is best remembered by his world famous Fibonacci sequence, the definition of this sequence is that it’s formed by a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers; 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 ...But in the case of currency trading what is more important for the forex trader is the Fibonacci ratios derived from this sequence of numbers, i.e. .236, .50, .382, .618, etc.


Some Forex Links

Posted by: david30 in Untagged  on

david30

Fibonacci and other Indicators & Template

Posted by: fibox in Untagged  on

fibox

Hello all again

I'm too lazy to type all the instruction but just to let you know, im not responsible for the indicator/template that im posting. So figure it out yourself and if you want to comment or put instructions, you are welcome to do so.


Introducing the SnapDragon

Posted by: SnapCracklePip in Untagged  on

SnapCracklePip
Hi All, and Happy Holidays!

Its Christmas Day and markets are closed, so now is as good a time as any to write this up. First off this is NOT the "Holy Grail", there is no such thing. Also, as with anything in forex it requires a alot of screen time and a good understanding of price action, support and resistance and money management. This is also NOT a complete trading system. The SnapDragon is merely a template which can be incorporated into a trading system. So lets get on with it, shall we.........

The idea for the SnapDragon was derived from part of the Ichimoku system. The Chinkou Span is a moving average of closing price shifted back 26 bars(22bars in modified versions). When the Chinkou Span is above the price bars/line it filters for longs and when it is below, for shorts. This is what it looks like:



As those who know me well can tell you, I like to play with things while trading. So I began playing with the idea of shifted price. But rather than shift price backward in time, why not shift it forward? I am also a big fan of the Fibonacci sequence so I began playing around with shifted price of varying amounts in the Fibonacci sequence ~0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144~ and so on.
I found that price shifted forward by 21 bars gave very "nice looking" results. In order to get an even better "look" I also decided that this shifted price should be "smoothed" just a tad. In order to achive this smoothing I simply used a 3-period EMA (exponential moving average)Shifted +21.
And this is what it looks like:



This is very similar to the Chinkou Span. To this day I still use this very basic chart to look at the Dow, S&P, Gold, Oil and other charts that I use to supplement my Forex trading. The shifted moving average serves as a resistance line, of sorts.

Now at some other point I began messing around with adding a 3x3 (3 squared)EMA. This is a 3-period EMA shifted +3. And now I had charts that looked like this:



I began trading this chart live with some very good results at times. And After some period of time I noticed the better signals were coming when certain configuration of the lines and price action occurred. To put it in a nutshell, when price was "trapped" in a void between the two shifted moving averages the trades did not tend to work as well as when price had broken free of both the lines.

After coming to this conclusion I tried to think of a way to visually block this "no trade" area off. What if I placed more 3EMAs shifting each 1 period more than the last? then , if I thickened each line some, so it began to look "solid"...... and behold! the SnapDragon was born!




I call it the "dragon" because it reminds me of those Chinese dragons you see at parades and festivals sometimes. Kinda looks a little crazy doesn't it? Ive added my favorite indicator (Wadda Attar Explosion) and some sweet spot lines, also an indicator that I modified to draw only 50% median lines, instead of both regular and 50%. I find price seems to want to track this 50% line in alot of cases. Here is a snapshot of the current version:



Now you might be asking, how the hell does it work? First it can work with any time frame on any pair or any instrument. My favorite time frames to trade with it are the 5m, 15m, AND 1HR. I like the lower spread pairs, well , because of the lower spread! For me these are the EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and the GBP/USD. Occasionally I will trade other pairs with not-so-low spreads such as the GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP. But for a person just starting out with the SnapDragon I would recommend sticking to the EUR/USD.

Here is a diagrammed chart of the 1hour EUR/USD. As you can see the rules are very simple.



The same entry rules would apply whether your trading a 5m chart or a daily. Exits are just a suggestion. You might have a simple take profit set at say 20 or 50 pips. Or you might use a trailing stop or an EA. like Swiss Army, to manage your stops. You could "scale out" of the trade at certain intervals of profit. This part is up to you. Again it is not my intention to provide a full system here, just the SnapDragon as a trading tool.

So here I give to you all my Christmas gift. 2 Templates containing the SnaDragon and some useful indicators that compliment it. One is Grey Background and One is Black. You may do whatever you wish with them (change colors, add other indicators, whatever you like) I just ask that the EMA set be called a SnapDragon :-)

http://www.whiskers-and-tails.com/forex/SnapDragon.zip

So that's it for now. I do plan on making some videos showing the SnapDragon during Live trading sessions. I hope you will look forward to them, in the very near future.

Merry Christmas and Happy Trading to you all!
~Snap

http://snapcracklepip.blogspot.com/

http://www.livevideo.com/SnapCracklePip

http://www.ircforex.com

FiBo_X Trading Strategy

Posted by: fibox in Untagged  on

fibox

FiBo_X Trading Strategy

Current strategy has won the hearts of many Forex traders. And why not when it has a great winning potential.

Strategy requirements/setup:
Time frame: daily
Currency pair: any
Trading setup: SMA 150,
RSI (3) with horizontal lines at 80 and 20,
Full Stochastic (6, 3, 3) with horizontal lines at 70 and 30.

Trading rules:

Entry for uptrend: when the price is above 150 SMA look for RSI to plunge below 20. Then look at Stochastic - once the Stochastic lines crossover occur and it is (must be) below 30 - enter Long with a new price bar.

If at least one of the conditions is not met - stay out.
Opposite for downtrend: when the price is below 150 SMA wait for the RSI to go above 80. Then if shortly after you see a Stochastic lines crossover above 70 - enter Short.

Protective stop is placed at the moment of entry and is adjusted to the most recent swing high/low.

Profits are going to be taken next way:
Option 1 - using Stochastic - with the first Stochastic lines cross above 70 (for uptrend) / below 30 (for downtrend).

Option 2 - using a trailing stop - for an uptrend a trailing stop is activated for the first time when Stochastic reaches 70. A trailing stop is placed below the previous bar's lowest price and is moved with each new price bar.

http://i44.tinypic.com/rwktxy.jpg
This strategy allows to accurately pin-point good entries with sound money management - risks/protective stops are very tight and potential profits are high.

Current trading strategy can be improved when it comes to defining the best exits. For example, once in trade traders may also try applying Fibonacci studying to the most recent swings. This way they can predict short-term retracements and make sure they will not be pulled out of the trade early and will continue pursuing profit targets at Fibonacci extension levels.

Download MT4 Template
http://www.forexmars.com/files/download-button.jpg


Forex Live Blog - Simple EMA Cross System.

Posted by: david30 in Untagged  on

david30

Funny Mouse and SloganForex Live Blog:  DEC 2, 2008

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Hey everyone, I will be live blogging tonight for about 3-5 hours or so.  I have decided to give blogger.com a try out.  I think it has a few more options to work with.


Step 1: The Zone

The_Zone